{"id":446357,"date":"2026-06-18T19:14:22","date_gmt":"2026-06-18T11:14:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pingtungtimes.com.tw\/?p=446357"},"modified":"2026-06-18T19:14:22","modified_gmt":"2026-06-18T11:14:22","slug":"%e5%ad%ab%e5%81%a5%e8%90%8d%ef%bc%9a%e5%8f%b0%e7%81%a3%e6%87%89%e5%8d%94%e5%8a%a9%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e3%80%81%e4%b8%ad%e5%9c%8b%e5%a4%a7%e9%99%b8%e8%b7%a8%e8%b6%8a%e3%80%8c%e4%bf%ae%e6%98%94%e5%ba%95","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pingtungtimes.com.tw\/?p=446357","title":{"rendered":"\u5b6b\u5065\u840d\uff1a\u53f0\u7063\u61c9\u5354\u52a9\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u8de8\u8d8a\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u3010\u8a18\u8005\u8607\u8389\u6e58 \/ \u9ad8\u96c4\u5831\u5c0e\u3011 \u7f8e\u570b\u5728\u53f0\u5354\u6703\uff08AIT\uff09\u524d\u4e3b\u5e2d\u590f\u99a8\uff08Therese Shaheen\uff096\u670815\u65e5\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u4fdd\u5b88\u6d3e\u6975\u5177\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u7684\u96dc\u8a8c\u300a\u570b\u5bb6\u8a55\u8ad6\u300b\uff08National Review\uff09\u64b0\u6587\uff0c\u5c0d\u4e0a\u500b\u6708\u300c\u5ddd\u7fd2\u6703\u300d\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73\u523b\u610f\u5411\u5ddd\u666e\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d\uff08Thucydides\u2019s Trap\uff09\u53ca\u897f\u65b9\u83c1\u82f1\u5011\u7684\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u5206\u6790\u67b6\u69cb\u4e0d\u4ee5\u70ba\u7136\uff0c\u76f4\u8a00\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0d\u518d\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u6b63\u5728\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u8d85\u7d1a\u5927\u570b\uff0c\u5176\u5404\u9805\u5be6\u529b\u9060\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u6297\u8861\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u516c\u6c11\u6b63\u7fa9\u806f\u76df\u7e3d\u53ec\u96c6\u4eba\u5b6b\u5065\u840d\u53d7\u8a2a\u6642\u5206\u6790\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d\u662f\u7531\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b78\u7518\u8ffa\u8fea\u653f\u5e9c\u5b78\u9662\u5275\u9662\u9662\u9577\u683c\u96f7\u5384\u59c6\u30fb\u827e\u5229\u68ee\uff08Graham Allison\uff092011\u5e74\u6240\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u4e26\u65bc2017\u5e74\u8457\u4f5c\u300a\u6ce8\u5b9a\u4e00\u6230?\u7f8e\u4e2d\u80fd\u5426\u907f\u514d\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300b\uff08DESTINED FOR WAR\uff1aCan America and China Escape Thucydides\u2019Trap?\uff09\u8a73\u8ff0\u65e2\u6709\u9738\u6b0a\u570b\u5bb6\u5c0d\u65b0\u8208\u5f37\u6b0a\u5d1b\u8d77\u611f\u5230\u6050\u61fc\u8207\u731c\u5fcc\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u5c0e\u81f4\u6230\u7565\u8aa4\u5224\u8207\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u7684\u885d\u7a81\uff1b\u5728\u7576\u524d\u7684\u5927\u570b\u535a\u5f08\u4e2d\uff0c\u8de8\u8d8a\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d\u3001\u907f\u514d\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6210\u70ba\u706b\u85e5\u5eab\u7684\u4f5c\u6cd5\u6709\u4e09\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\uff1a<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong><strong>\u4e00\u3001\u5171\u540c\u5efa\u7acb\u826f\u6027\u7af6\u722d\u6a5f\u5236<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 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Coexistence\uff09\uff1b\u4e26\u5283\u5b9a\u7d05\u7dda\uff0c\u660e\u78ba\u754c\u5b9a\u5f7c\u6b64\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u5728\u908a\u7de3\u8b70\u984c\u4e0a\u9032\u884c\u7121\u8b02\u7684\u96f6\u548c\u535a\u5f08\uff1b\u4e14\u96d9\u65b9\u61c9\u5efa\u7acb\u6230\u7565\u8b77\u6b04\uff0c\u85c9\u7531\u900f\u660e\u7684\u6e9d\u901a\u6e20\u9053\u8207\u5371\u6a5f\u7ba1\u63a7\u6a5f\u5236\uff08\u5982\uff1a\u8ecd\u4e8b\u71b1\u7dda\uff09\uff0c\u78ba\u4fdd\u5c40\u90e8\u6469\u64e6\u4e0d\u6703\u7121\u9810\u8b66\u5347\u7d1a\u70ba\u5168\u9762\u71b1\u6230\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong><strong>\u4e8c\u3001\u5171\u540c\u7dad\u8b77\u570b\u969b\u7d93\u6fdf\u79e9\u5e8f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 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strong do what they can; the weak suffer what they 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\u7f8e\u570b\u5728\u53f0\u5354\u6703\uff08AIT\uff09\u524d\u4e3b\u5e2d\u590f\u99a8\uff08Therese Shaheen\uff096\u670815\u65e5\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u4fdd\u5b88\u6d3e\u6975\u5177\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u7684\u96dc\u8a8c\u300a\u570b\u5bb6\u8a55\u8ad6\u300b\uff08National Review\uff09\u64b0\u6587\uff0c\u5c0d\u4e0a\u500b\u6708\u300c\u5ddd\u7fd2\u6703\u300d\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73\u523b\u610f\u5411\u5ddd\u666e\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d\uff08Thucydides\u2019s Trap\uff09\u53ca\u897f\u65b9\u83c1\u82f1\u5011\u7684\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u5206\u6790\u67b6\u69cb\u4e0d\u4ee5\u70ba\u7136\uff0c\u76f4\u8a00\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0d\u518d\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u6b63\u5728\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u8d85\u7d1a\u5927\u570b\uff0c\u5176\u5404\u9805\u5be6\u529b\u9060\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u6297\u8861\u3002  \u516c\u6c11\u6b63\u7fa9\u806f\u76df\u7e3d\u53ec\u96c6\u4eba\u5b6b\u5065\u840d\u53d7\u8a2a\u6642\u5206\u6790\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d\u662f\u7531\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b78\u7518\u8ffa\u8fea\u653f\u5e9c\u5b78\u9662\u5275\u9662\u9662\u9577\u683c\u96f7\u5384\u59c6\u30fb\u827e\u5229\u68ee\uff08Graham Allison\uff092011\u5e74\u6240\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u4e26\u65bc2017\u5e74\u8457\u4f5c\u300a\u6ce8\u5b9a\u4e00\u6230?\u7f8e\u4e2d\u80fd\u5426\u907f\u514d\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300b\uff08DESTINED FOR WAR\uff1aCan America and China Escape Thucydides\u2019Trap?\uff09\u8a73\u8ff0\u65e2\u6709\u9738\u6b0a\u570b\u5bb6\u5c0d\u65b0\u8208\u5f37\u6b0a\u5d1b\u8d77\u611f\u5230\u6050\u61fc\u8207\u731c\u5fcc\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u5c0e\u81f4\u6230\u7565\u8aa4\u5224\u8207\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u7684\u885d\u7a81\uff1b\u5728\u7576\u524d\u7684\u5927\u570b\u535a\u5f08\u4e2d\uff0c\u8de8\u8d8a\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d\u3001\u907f\u514d\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6210\u70ba\u706b\u85e5\u5eab\u7684\u4f5c\u6cd5\u6709\u4e09\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\uff1a  \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u4e00\u3001\u5171\u540c\u5efa\u7acb\u826f\u6027\u7af6\u722d\u6a5f\u5236  \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u7f8e\u3001\u4e2d\u96d9\u65b9\u61c9\u653e\u68c4\u96f6\u548c\u535a\u5f08\u601d\u7dad\uff0c\u610f\u8b58\u5230\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u4e43\u81f3\u65bc\u4e16\u754c\u8db3\u5920\u5bb9\u7d0d\u5169\u500b\u5927\u570b\u7684\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u63a5\u7d0d\u300c\u548c\u800c\u4e0d\u540c\u300d\u7684\u570b\u969b\u79e9\u5e8f\uff0c\u5c07\u5c0d\u6297\u8f49\u5316\u70ba\u826f\u6027\u7684\u9ad4\u5236\u8207\u8edf\u5be6\u529b\u7af6\u722d\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u300c\u7af6\u722d\u6027\u7684\u5171\u5b58\u300d\u67b6\u69cb\uff08Competitive 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laws\uff09\uff1a\u300c\u4e00\u3001\u5927\u570b\u4e0d\u6703\u5141\u8a31\u5468\u908a\u6709\u6575\u5c0d\u52e2\u529b\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u4e8c\u3001\u7576\u5927\u570b\u5fc5\u9808\u5728\u672c\u570b\u91cd\u5927\u5229\u76ca\u548c\u570b\u969b\u95dc\u4fc2\u50f9\u503c\u89c0\u4e4b\u9593\u6289\u64c7\u6642\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u7e3d\u4ee5\u570b\u5bb6\u5229\u76ca\u70ba\u512a\u5148\u3002\u4e09\u3001\u5c0d\u65bc\u5468\u908a\u5927\u570b\u5728\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0a\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u5fc5\u9808\u638c\u63e1\u5148\u6a5f\u3001\u6709\u6240\u9810\u898b\u4e14\u8981\u6642\u6642\u4fdd\u6301\u654f\u611f\uff0c\u624d\u662f\u8f03\u5c0f\u52e2\u529b\u7684\u660e\u667a\u4e4b\u8209\u3002\u300d\u6211\u5011\u61c9\u8a72\u4f9d\u64da\u4e2d\u83ef\u6c11\u570b\u61b2\u6cd5\u7b2c141\u689d\u7684\u7cbe\u795e\uff0c\u7c72\u8acb\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u5171\u540c\u5354\u8abf\u300c\u4fc4\u70cf\u6230\u722d\u300d\u3001\u300c\u4e2d\u6771\u885d\u7a81\u300d\u7684\u5168\u9762\u505c\u6230\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u5021\u570b\u969b\u6b63\u7fa9\u3001\u78ba\u4fdd\u4e16\u754c\u548c\u5e73\u3002  \u5b6b\u5065\u840d\u7e3d\u7d50\u6642\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\uff08Thucydides\uff09\u5728\u63cf\u8ff0\u7c73\u6d1b\u65af\u4eba\u548c\u96c5\u5178\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u7d1b\u722d\u6642\u8aaa\u7684\u540d\u8a00\uff1a\u300c\u5f37\u8005\u70ba\u6240\u6b32\u70ba\uff0c\u5f31\u8005\u53ea\u80fd\u9006\u4f86\u9806\u53d7\u3002\u300d\uff08The strong do what they can; the weak suffer what they must.\uff09\u4efb\u4f55\u91cd\u5927\u7684\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u7af6\u722d\uff0c\u512a\u52e2\u4e0d\u5728\u6709\u610f\u8b58\u6216\u7121\u610f\u8b58\u5c31\u60c5\u7dd2\u885d\u52d5\u3001\u610f\u6c23\u7528\u4e8b\u7684\u4e00\u65b9\uff1b\u53cd\u800c\u7e3d\u5728\u80fd\u5920\u4fdd\u6301\u7406\u667a\u548c\u982d\u8166\u51b7\u975c\u3001\u6709\u88ab\u8a0e\u53ad\u52c7\u6c23\u7684\u4e00\u65b9\u3002\u53f0\u7063\u61c9\u4e3b\u5f35\u300c\u85cd\u8272\u53f0\u6d77\u5021\u8b70\u300d\u2014\u53f0\u7063\u6d77\u5cfd\u4e0d\u61c9\u6210\u540c\u80de\u5edd\u6bba\u7684\u7d05\u6d77\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u7e41\u69ae\u5171\u878d\u7684\u85cd\u6d77\uff1b\u4e26\u6301\u7e8c\u6df1\u5316\u6c11\u4e3b\u6539\u9769\u3001\u7e2e\u77ed\u8ca7\u5bcc\u5dee\u8ddd\u3001\u81f4\u529b\u4fc3\u9032\u5168\u9ad4\u4eba\u985e\u5e73\u7b49\uff0c\u76f8\u4fe1\u5b9a\u80fd\u5718\u7d50\u5168\u6c11\u3001\u4ee5\u5c0f\u535a\u5927\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u5168\u7403\u83ef\u4eba\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u5178\u7bc4\u3002\u552f\u6709\u8d0f\u5f97\u6d77\u5167\u5916\u83ef\u4eba\u7684\u8877\u5fc3\u652f\u6301\u3001\u638c\u63e1\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u8b8a\u9077\u7684\u6a5f\u9047\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u624d\u80fd\u6399\u812b\u300c\u5f37\u570b\u68cb\u5b50\u300d\u7684\u5bbf\u547d\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u8abf\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u885d\u7a81\u7684\u6a1e\u7d10\u3002\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/pingtungtimes.com.tw\/?p=446357\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_TW\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u5b6b\u5065\u840d\uff1a\u53f0\u7063\u61c9\u5354\u52a9\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u8de8\u8d8a\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d - \u5c4f\u6771\u6642\u5831\u96fb\u5b50\u5831\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u3010\u8a18\u8005\u8607\u8389\u6e58 \/ \u9ad8\u96c4\u5831\u5c0e\u3011 \u7f8e\u570b\u5728\u53f0\u5354\u6703\uff08AIT\uff09\u524d\u4e3b\u5e2d\u590f\u99a8\uff08Therese Shaheen\uff096\u670815\u65e5\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u4fdd\u5b88\u6d3e\u6975\u5177\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u7684\u96dc\u8a8c\u300a\u570b\u5bb6\u8a55\u8ad6\u300b\uff08National Review\uff09\u64b0\u6587\uff0c\u5c0d\u4e0a\u500b\u6708\u300c\u5ddd\u7fd2\u6703\u300d\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73\u523b\u610f\u5411\u5ddd\u666e\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d\uff08Thucydides\u2019s Trap\uff09\u53ca\u897f\u65b9\u83c1\u82f1\u5011\u7684\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u5206\u6790\u67b6\u69cb\u4e0d\u4ee5\u70ba\u7136\uff0c\u76f4\u8a00\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0d\u518d\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u6b63\u5728\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u8d85\u7d1a\u5927\u570b\uff0c\u5176\u5404\u9805\u5be6\u529b\u9060\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u6297\u8861\u3002  \u516c\u6c11\u6b63\u7fa9\u806f\u76df\u7e3d\u53ec\u96c6\u4eba\u5b6b\u5065\u840d\u53d7\u8a2a\u6642\u5206\u6790\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d\u662f\u7531\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b78\u7518\u8ffa\u8fea\u653f\u5e9c\u5b78\u9662\u5275\u9662\u9662\u9577\u683c\u96f7\u5384\u59c6\u30fb\u827e\u5229\u68ee\uff08Graham Allison\uff092011\u5e74\u6240\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u4e26\u65bc2017\u5e74\u8457\u4f5c\u300a\u6ce8\u5b9a\u4e00\u6230?\u7f8e\u4e2d\u80fd\u5426\u907f\u514d\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300b\uff08DESTINED FOR WAR\uff1aCan America and China Escape Thucydides\u2019Trap?\uff09\u8a73\u8ff0\u65e2\u6709\u9738\u6b0a\u570b\u5bb6\u5c0d\u65b0\u8208\u5f37\u6b0a\u5d1b\u8d77\u611f\u5230\u6050\u61fc\u8207\u731c\u5fcc\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u5c0e\u81f4\u6230\u7565\u8aa4\u5224\u8207\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u7684\u885d\u7a81\uff1b\u5728\u7576\u524d\u7684\u5927\u570b\u535a\u5f08\u4e2d\uff0c\u8de8\u8d8a\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d\u3001\u907f\u514d\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6210\u70ba\u706b\u85e5\u5eab\u7684\u4f5c\u6cd5\u6709\u4e09\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\uff1a  \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u4e00\u3001\u5171\u540c\u5efa\u7acb\u826f\u6027\u7af6\u722d\u6a5f\u5236  \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u7f8e\u3001\u4e2d\u96d9\u65b9\u61c9\u653e\u68c4\u96f6\u548c\u535a\u5f08\u601d\u7dad\uff0c\u610f\u8b58\u5230\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u4e43\u81f3\u65bc\u4e16\u754c\u8db3\u5920\u5bb9\u7d0d\u5169\u500b\u5927\u570b\u7684\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u63a5\u7d0d\u300c\u548c\u800c\u4e0d\u540c\u300d\u7684\u570b\u969b\u79e9\u5e8f\uff0c\u5c07\u5c0d\u6297\u8f49\u5316\u70ba\u826f\u6027\u7684\u9ad4\u5236\u8207\u8edf\u5be6\u529b\u7af6\u722d\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u300c\u7af6\u722d\u6027\u7684\u5171\u5b58\u300d\u67b6\u69cb\uff08Competitive Coexistence\uff09\uff1b\u4e26\u5283\u5b9a\u7d05\u7dda\uff0c\u660e\u78ba\u754c\u5b9a\u5f7c\u6b64\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u5728\u908a\u7de3\u8b70\u984c\u4e0a\u9032\u884c\u7121\u8b02\u7684\u96f6\u548c\u535a\u5f08\uff1b\u4e14\u96d9\u65b9\u61c9\u5efa\u7acb\u6230\u7565\u8b77\u6b04\uff0c\u85c9\u7531\u900f\u660e\u7684\u6e9d\u901a\u6e20\u9053\u8207\u5371\u6a5f\u7ba1\u63a7\u6a5f\u5236\uff08\u5982\uff1a\u8ecd\u4e8b\u71b1\u7dda\uff09\uff0c\u78ba\u4fdd\u5c40\u90e8\u6469\u64e6\u4e0d\u6703\u7121\u9810\u8b66\u5347\u7d1a\u70ba\u5168\u9762\u71b1\u6230\u3002  \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u4e8c\u3001\u5171\u540c\u7dad\u8b77\u570b\u969b\u7d93\u6fdf\u79e9\u5e8f  \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 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 \u5b6b\u5065\u840d\u7e3d\u7d50\u6642\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\uff08Thucydides\uff09\u5728\u63cf\u8ff0\u7c73\u6d1b\u65af\u4eba\u548c\u96c5\u5178\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u7d1b\u722d\u6642\u8aaa\u7684\u540d\u8a00\uff1a\u300c\u5f37\u8005\u70ba\u6240\u6b32\u70ba\uff0c\u5f31\u8005\u53ea\u80fd\u9006\u4f86\u9806\u53d7\u3002\u300d\uff08The strong do what they can; the weak suffer what they must.\uff09\u4efb\u4f55\u91cd\u5927\u7684\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u7af6\u722d\uff0c\u512a\u52e2\u4e0d\u5728\u6709\u610f\u8b58\u6216\u7121\u610f\u8b58\u5c31\u60c5\u7dd2\u885d\u52d5\u3001\u610f\u6c23\u7528\u4e8b\u7684\u4e00\u65b9\uff1b\u53cd\u800c\u7e3d\u5728\u80fd\u5920\u4fdd\u6301\u7406\u667a\u548c\u982d\u8166\u51b7\u975c\u3001\u6709\u88ab\u8a0e\u53ad\u52c7\u6c23\u7684\u4e00\u65b9\u3002\u53f0\u7063\u61c9\u4e3b\u5f35\u300c\u85cd\u8272\u53f0\u6d77\u5021\u8b70\u300d\u2014\u53f0\u7063\u6d77\u5cfd\u4e0d\u61c9\u6210\u540c\u80de\u5edd\u6bba\u7684\u7d05\u6d77\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u7e41\u69ae\u5171\u878d\u7684\u85cd\u6d77\uff1b\u4e26\u6301\u7e8c\u6df1\u5316\u6c11\u4e3b\u6539\u9769\u3001\u7e2e\u77ed\u8ca7\u5bcc\u5dee\u8ddd\u3001\u81f4\u529b\u4fc3\u9032\u5168\u9ad4\u4eba\u985e\u5e73\u7b49\uff0c\u76f8\u4fe1\u5b9a\u80fd\u5718\u7d50\u5168\u6c11\u3001\u4ee5\u5c0f\u535a\u5927\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u5168\u7403\u83ef\u4eba\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u5178\u7bc4\u3002\u552f\u6709\u8d0f\u5f97\u6d77\u5167\u5916\u83ef\u4eba\u7684\u8877\u5fc3\u652f\u6301\u3001\u638c\u63e1\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u8b8a\u9077\u7684\u6a5f\u9047\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u624d\u80fd\u6399\u812b\u300c\u5f37\u570b\u68cb\u5b50\u300d\u7684\u5bbf\u547d\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u8abf\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u885d\u7a81\u7684\u6a1e\u7d10\u3002\" 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Review\uff09\u64b0\u6587\uff0c\u5c0d\u4e0a\u500b\u6708\u300c\u5ddd\u7fd2\u6703\u300d\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73\u523b\u610f\u5411\u5ddd\u666e\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d\uff08Thucydides\u2019s Trap\uff09\u53ca\u897f\u65b9\u83c1\u82f1\u5011\u7684\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u5206\u6790\u67b6\u69cb\u4e0d\u4ee5\u70ba\u7136\uff0c\u76f4\u8a00\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0d\u518d\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u6b63\u5728\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u8d85\u7d1a\u5927\u570b\uff0c\u5176\u5404\u9805\u5be6\u529b\u9060\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u6297\u8861\u3002 \u516c\u6c11\u6b63\u7fa9\u806f\u76df\u7e3d\u53ec\u96c6\u4eba\u5b6b\u5065\u840d\u53d7\u8a2a\u6642\u5206\u6790\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d\u662f\u7531\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b78\u7518\u8ffa\u8fea\u653f\u5e9c\u5b78\u9662\u5275\u9662\u9662\u9577\u683c\u96f7\u5384\u59c6\u30fb\u827e\u5229\u68ee\uff08Graham Allison\uff092011\u5e74\u6240\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u4e26\u65bc2017\u5e74\u8457\u4f5c\u300a\u6ce8\u5b9a\u4e00\u6230?\u7f8e\u4e2d\u80fd\u5426\u907f\u514d\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300b\uff08DESTINED FOR WAR\uff1aCan America and China Escape Thucydides\u2019Trap?\uff09\u8a73\u8ff0\u65e2\u6709\u9738\u6b0a\u570b\u5bb6\u5c0d\u65b0\u8208\u5f37\u6b0a\u5d1b\u8d77\u611f\u5230\u6050\u61fc\u8207\u731c\u5fcc\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u5c0e\u81f4\u6230\u7565\u8aa4\u5224\u8207\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u7684\u885d\u7a81\uff1b\u5728\u7576\u524d\u7684\u5927\u570b\u535a\u5f08\u4e2d\uff0c\u8de8\u8d8a\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d\u3001\u907f\u514d\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6210\u70ba\u706b\u85e5\u5eab\u7684\u4f5c\u6cd5\u6709\u4e09\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\uff1a \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u4e00\u3001\u5171\u540c\u5efa\u7acb\u826f\u6027\u7af6\u722d\u6a5f\u5236 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u7f8e\u3001\u4e2d\u96d9\u65b9\u61c9\u653e\u68c4\u96f6\u548c\u535a\u5f08\u601d\u7dad\uff0c\u610f\u8b58\u5230\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u4e43\u81f3\u65bc\u4e16\u754c\u8db3\u5920\u5bb9\u7d0d\u5169\u500b\u5927\u570b\u7684\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u63a5\u7d0d\u300c\u548c\u800c\u4e0d\u540c\u300d\u7684\u570b\u969b\u79e9\u5e8f\uff0c\u5c07\u5c0d\u6297\u8f49\u5316\u70ba\u826f\u6027\u7684\u9ad4\u5236\u8207\u8edf\u5be6\u529b\u7af6\u722d\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u300c\u7af6\u722d\u6027\u7684\u5171\u5b58\u300d\u67b6\u69cb\uff08Competitive Coexistence\uff09\uff1b\u4e26\u5283\u5b9a\u7d05\u7dda\uff0c\u660e\u78ba\u754c\u5b9a\u5f7c\u6b64\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u5728\u908a\u7de3\u8b70\u984c\u4e0a\u9032\u884c\u7121\u8b02\u7684\u96f6\u548c\u535a\u5f08\uff1b\u4e14\u96d9\u65b9\u61c9\u5efa\u7acb\u6230\u7565\u8b77\u6b04\uff0c\u85c9\u7531\u900f\u660e\u7684\u6e9d\u901a\u6e20\u9053\u8207\u5371\u6a5f\u7ba1\u63a7\u6a5f\u5236\uff08\u5982\uff1a\u8ecd\u4e8b\u71b1\u7dda\uff09\uff0c\u78ba\u4fdd\u5c40\u90e8\u6469\u64e6\u4e0d\u6703\u7121\u9810\u8b66\u5347\u7d1a\u70ba\u5168\u9762\u71b1\u6230\u3002 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u4e8c\u3001\u5171\u540c\u7dad\u8b77\u570b\u969b\u7d93\u6fdf\u79e9\u5e8f \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 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laws\uff09\uff1a\u300c\u4e00\u3001\u5927\u570b\u4e0d\u6703\u5141\u8a31\u5468\u908a\u6709\u6575\u5c0d\u52e2\u529b\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u4e8c\u3001\u7576\u5927\u570b\u5fc5\u9808\u5728\u672c\u570b\u91cd\u5927\u5229\u76ca\u548c\u570b\u969b\u95dc\u4fc2\u50f9\u503c\u89c0\u4e4b\u9593\u6289\u64c7\u6642\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u7e3d\u4ee5\u570b\u5bb6\u5229\u76ca\u70ba\u512a\u5148\u3002\u4e09\u3001\u5c0d\u65bc\u5468\u908a\u5927\u570b\u5728\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0a\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u5fc5\u9808\u638c\u63e1\u5148\u6a5f\u3001\u6709\u6240\u9810\u898b\u4e14\u8981\u6642\u6642\u4fdd\u6301\u654f\u611f\uff0c\u624d\u662f\u8f03\u5c0f\u52e2\u529b\u7684\u660e\u667a\u4e4b\u8209\u3002\u300d\u6211\u5011\u61c9\u8a72\u4f9d\u64da\u4e2d\u83ef\u6c11\u570b\u61b2\u6cd5\u7b2c141\u689d\u7684\u7cbe\u795e\uff0c\u7c72\u8acb\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u5171\u540c\u5354\u8abf\u300c\u4fc4\u70cf\u6230\u722d\u300d\u3001\u300c\u4e2d\u6771\u885d\u7a81\u300d\u7684\u5168\u9762\u505c\u6230\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u5021\u570b\u969b\u6b63\u7fa9\u3001\u78ba\u4fdd\u4e16\u754c\u548c\u5e73\u3002 \u5b6b\u5065\u840d\u7e3d\u7d50\u6642\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\uff08Thucydides\uff09\u5728\u63cf\u8ff0\u7c73\u6d1b\u65af\u4eba\u548c\u96c5\u5178\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u7d1b\u722d\u6642\u8aaa\u7684\u540d\u8a00\uff1a\u300c\u5f37\u8005\u70ba\u6240\u6b32\u70ba\uff0c\u5f31\u8005\u53ea\u80fd\u9006\u4f86\u9806\u53d7\u3002\u300d\uff08The strong do what they can; the weak suffer what they 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\u7f8e\u570b\u5728\u53f0\u5354\u6703\uff08AIT\uff09\u524d\u4e3b\u5e2d\u590f\u99a8\uff08Therese Shaheen\uff096\u670815\u65e5\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u4fdd\u5b88\u6d3e\u6975\u5177\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u7684\u96dc\u8a8c\u300a\u570b\u5bb6\u8a55\u8ad6\u300b\uff08National Review\uff09\u64b0\u6587\uff0c\u5c0d\u4e0a\u500b\u6708\u300c\u5ddd\u7fd2\u6703\u300d\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73\u523b\u610f\u5411\u5ddd\u666e\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d\uff08Thucydides\u2019s Trap\uff09\u53ca\u897f\u65b9\u83c1\u82f1\u5011\u7684\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u5206\u6790\u67b6\u69cb\u4e0d\u4ee5\u70ba\u7136\uff0c\u76f4\u8a00\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0d\u518d\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u6b63\u5728\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u8d85\u7d1a\u5927\u570b\uff0c\u5176\u5404\u9805\u5be6\u529b\u9060\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u6297\u8861\u3002  \u516c\u6c11\u6b63\u7fa9\u806f\u76df\u7e3d\u53ec\u96c6\u4eba\u5b6b\u5065\u840d\u53d7\u8a2a\u6642\u5206\u6790\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d\u662f\u7531\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b78\u7518\u8ffa\u8fea\u653f\u5e9c\u5b78\u9662\u5275\u9662\u9662\u9577\u683c\u96f7\u5384\u59c6\u30fb\u827e\u5229\u68ee\uff08Graham Allison\uff092011\u5e74\u6240\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u4e26\u65bc2017\u5e74\u8457\u4f5c\u300a\u6ce8\u5b9a\u4e00\u6230?\u7f8e\u4e2d\u80fd\u5426\u907f\u514d\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300b\uff08DESTINED FOR WAR\uff1aCan America and China Escape 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\u7f8e\u3001\u4e2d\u96d9\u65b9\u61c9\u653e\u68c4\u96f6\u548c\u535a\u5f08\u601d\u7dad\uff0c\u610f\u8b58\u5230\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u4e43\u81f3\u65bc\u4e16\u754c\u8db3\u5920\u5bb9\u7d0d\u5169\u500b\u5927\u570b\u7684\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u63a5\u7d0d\u300c\u548c\u800c\u4e0d\u540c\u300d\u7684\u570b\u969b\u79e9\u5e8f\uff0c\u5c07\u5c0d\u6297\u8f49\u5316\u70ba\u826f\u6027\u7684\u9ad4\u5236\u8207\u8edf\u5be6\u529b\u7af6\u722d\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u300c\u7af6\u722d\u6027\u7684\u5171\u5b58\u300d\u67b6\u69cb\uff08Competitive 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laws\uff09\uff1a\u300c\u4e00\u3001\u5927\u570b\u4e0d\u6703\u5141\u8a31\u5468\u908a\u6709\u6575\u5c0d\u52e2\u529b\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u4e8c\u3001\u7576\u5927\u570b\u5fc5\u9808\u5728\u672c\u570b\u91cd\u5927\u5229\u76ca\u548c\u570b\u969b\u95dc\u4fc2\u50f9\u503c\u89c0\u4e4b\u9593\u6289\u64c7\u6642\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u7e3d\u4ee5\u570b\u5bb6\u5229\u76ca\u70ba\u512a\u5148\u3002\u4e09\u3001\u5c0d\u65bc\u5468\u908a\u5927\u570b\u5728\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0a\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u5fc5\u9808\u638c\u63e1\u5148\u6a5f\u3001\u6709\u6240\u9810\u898b\u4e14\u8981\u6642\u6642\u4fdd\u6301\u654f\u611f\uff0c\u624d\u662f\u8f03\u5c0f\u52e2\u529b\u7684\u660e\u667a\u4e4b\u8209\u3002\u300d\u6211\u5011\u61c9\u8a72\u4f9d\u64da\u4e2d\u83ef\u6c11\u570b\u61b2\u6cd5\u7b2c141\u689d\u7684\u7cbe\u795e\uff0c\u7c72\u8acb\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u5171\u540c\u5354\u8abf\u300c\u4fc4\u70cf\u6230\u722d\u300d\u3001\u300c\u4e2d\u6771\u885d\u7a81\u300d\u7684\u5168\u9762\u505c\u6230\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u5021\u570b\u969b\u6b63\u7fa9\u3001\u78ba\u4fdd\u4e16\u754c\u548c\u5e73\u3002  \u5b6b\u5065\u840d\u7e3d\u7d50\u6642\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\uff08Thucydides\uff09\u5728\u63cf\u8ff0\u7c73\u6d1b\u65af\u4eba\u548c\u96c5\u5178\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u7d1b\u722d\u6642\u8aaa\u7684\u540d\u8a00\uff1a\u300c\u5f37\u8005\u70ba\u6240\u6b32\u70ba\uff0c\u5f31\u8005\u53ea\u80fd\u9006\u4f86\u9806\u53d7\u3002\u300d\uff08The strong do what they can; the weak suffer what they must.\uff09\u4efb\u4f55\u91cd\u5927\u7684\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u7af6\u722d\uff0c\u512a\u52e2\u4e0d\u5728\u6709\u610f\u8b58\u6216\u7121\u610f\u8b58\u5c31\u60c5\u7dd2\u885d\u52d5\u3001\u610f\u6c23\u7528\u4e8b\u7684\u4e00\u65b9\uff1b\u53cd\u800c\u7e3d\u5728\u80fd\u5920\u4fdd\u6301\u7406\u667a\u548c\u982d\u8166\u51b7\u975c\u3001\u6709\u88ab\u8a0e\u53ad\u52c7\u6c23\u7684\u4e00\u65b9\u3002\u53f0\u7063\u61c9\u4e3b\u5f35\u300c\u85cd\u8272\u53f0\u6d77\u5021\u8b70\u300d\u2014\u53f0\u7063\u6d77\u5cfd\u4e0d\u61c9\u6210\u540c\u80de\u5edd\u6bba\u7684\u7d05\u6d77\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u7e41\u69ae\u5171\u878d\u7684\u85cd\u6d77\uff1b\u4e26\u6301\u7e8c\u6df1\u5316\u6c11\u4e3b\u6539\u9769\u3001\u7e2e\u77ed\u8ca7\u5bcc\u5dee\u8ddd\u3001\u81f4\u529b\u4fc3\u9032\u5168\u9ad4\u4eba\u985e\u5e73\u7b49\uff0c\u76f8\u4fe1\u5b9a\u80fd\u5718\u7d50\u5168\u6c11\u3001\u4ee5\u5c0f\u535a\u5927\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u5168\u7403\u83ef\u4eba\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u5178\u7bc4\u3002\u552f\u6709\u8d0f\u5f97\u6d77\u5167\u5916\u83ef\u4eba\u7684\u8877\u5fc3\u652f\u6301\u3001\u638c\u63e1\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u8b8a\u9077\u7684\u6a5f\u9047\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u624d\u80fd\u6399\u812b\u300c\u5f37\u570b\u68cb\u5b50\u300d\u7684\u5bbf\u547d\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u8abf\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u885d\u7a81\u7684\u6a1e\u7d10\u3002","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/pingtungtimes.com.tw\/?p=446357","og_locale":"zh_TW","og_type":"article","og_title":"\u5b6b\u5065\u840d\uff1a\u53f0\u7063\u61c9\u5354\u52a9\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u8de8\u8d8a\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d - \u5c4f\u6771\u6642\u5831\u96fb\u5b50\u5831","og_description":"\u3010\u8a18\u8005\u8607\u8389\u6e58 \/ \u9ad8\u96c4\u5831\u5c0e\u3011 \u7f8e\u570b\u5728\u53f0\u5354\u6703\uff08AIT\uff09\u524d\u4e3b\u5e2d\u590f\u99a8\uff08Therese Shaheen\uff096\u670815\u65e5\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u4fdd\u5b88\u6d3e\u6975\u5177\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u7684\u96dc\u8a8c\u300a\u570b\u5bb6\u8a55\u8ad6\u300b\uff08National Review\uff09\u64b0\u6587\uff0c\u5c0d\u4e0a\u500b\u6708\u300c\u5ddd\u7fd2\u6703\u300d\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73\u523b\u610f\u5411\u5ddd\u666e\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d\uff08Thucydides\u2019s Trap\uff09\u53ca\u897f\u65b9\u83c1\u82f1\u5011\u7684\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u5206\u6790\u67b6\u69cb\u4e0d\u4ee5\u70ba\u7136\uff0c\u76f4\u8a00\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0d\u518d\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u6b63\u5728\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u8d85\u7d1a\u5927\u570b\uff0c\u5176\u5404\u9805\u5be6\u529b\u9060\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u6297\u8861\u3002  \u516c\u6c11\u6b63\u7fa9\u806f\u76df\u7e3d\u53ec\u96c6\u4eba\u5b6b\u5065\u840d\u53d7\u8a2a\u6642\u5206\u6790\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d\u662f\u7531\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b78\u7518\u8ffa\u8fea\u653f\u5e9c\u5b78\u9662\u5275\u9662\u9662\u9577\u683c\u96f7\u5384\u59c6\u30fb\u827e\u5229\u68ee\uff08Graham Allison\uff092011\u5e74\u6240\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u4e26\u65bc2017\u5e74\u8457\u4f5c\u300a\u6ce8\u5b9a\u4e00\u6230?\u7f8e\u4e2d\u80fd\u5426\u907f\u514d\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300b\uff08DESTINED FOR WAR\uff1aCan America and China Escape Thucydides\u2019Trap?\uff09\u8a73\u8ff0\u65e2\u6709\u9738\u6b0a\u570b\u5bb6\u5c0d\u65b0\u8208\u5f37\u6b0a\u5d1b\u8d77\u611f\u5230\u6050\u61fc\u8207\u731c\u5fcc\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u5c0e\u81f4\u6230\u7565\u8aa4\u5224\u8207\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u7684\u885d\u7a81\uff1b\u5728\u7576\u524d\u7684\u5927\u570b\u535a\u5f08\u4e2d\uff0c\u8de8\u8d8a\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d\u3001\u907f\u514d\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6210\u70ba\u706b\u85e5\u5eab\u7684\u4f5c\u6cd5\u6709\u4e09\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\uff1a  \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u4e00\u3001\u5171\u540c\u5efa\u7acb\u826f\u6027\u7af6\u722d\u6a5f\u5236  \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 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Trap\uff09\u53ca\u897f\u65b9\u83c1\u82f1\u5011\u7684\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u5206\u6790\u67b6\u69cb\u4e0d\u4ee5\u70ba\u7136\uff0c\u76f4\u8a00\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0d\u518d\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u6b63\u5728\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u8d85\u7d1a\u5927\u570b\uff0c\u5176\u5404\u9805\u5be6\u529b\u9060\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u6297\u8861\u3002 \u516c\u6c11\u6b63\u7fa9\u806f\u76df\u7e3d\u53ec\u96c6\u4eba\u5b6b\u5065\u840d\u53d7\u8a2a\u6642\u5206\u6790\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u300c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300d\u662f\u7531\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b78\u7518\u8ffa\u8fea\u653f\u5e9c\u5b78\u9662\u5275\u9662\u9662\u9577\u683c\u96f7\u5384\u59c6\u30fb\u827e\u5229\u68ee\uff08Graham Allison\uff092011\u5e74\u6240\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u4e26\u65bc2017\u5e74\u8457\u4f5c\u300a\u6ce8\u5b9a\u4e00\u6230?\u7f8e\u4e2d\u80fd\u5426\u907f\u514d\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u300b\uff08DESTINED FOR WAR\uff1aCan America and China Escape 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